UK workforce exodus could force BoE to raise interest rates, says chief economist
The surge in people quitting the British workforce because of ill health or early retirement could force the Bank of England to further increase interest rates, its chief economist has warned.
Huw Pill said the departure of more than half a million workers from the jobs market since the Covid pandemic risked stoking inflationary pressures, long after the shock from sky-high energy prices is likely to fade.
In a speech to business leaders in London, he suggested the rise in economic inactivity – when working-age adults are not in a job or looking for one – could force a response from Threadneedle Street.
“Rising inactivity among the working age population represents an adverse supply shock, which adds to the difficult shorter-term trade-offs facing monetary policy,” he said.